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Posse Have Just A Little Moore Than Arnhall
WR D J Moore scores the first Express points on this 18 yard run.
Sleeper of the WeekWith the Posse v Arnhall game the only one effectively listed as close , it was inevitable the search for the Round 1 Sleeper would lead there. Coach Sutherland had his Las Vegas Raiders DST to thank for two wins in his late season sprint for glory....but they lost their starting spot for tactical reasons two weeks ahead of their Wk 13 bye. Had they been restored for Week14.....the unit would have scored 4pots (net +4pts) and the Fins would have landed a 28-27 comeback triumph. Instead it's the Rd 1 SOW for coach Compost and his Raiders DST.
Play-Off's 2nd Rd Round Westburn Blades v Scunthorpe Steelers Kincorth Killers v Caledonia Express
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Steelers March On As Rising HurtsCeeDee Lamb ambles in for a 13 yard Scunny score.Coach Meek's unmatched play-off smarts were in evidence again as his Scunthorpe Steelers ended the Wellington Rising's reign as ALFF Champions with a comfortable 31-20 win in this 1st Rd play-off clash. This much anticipated showdown between the respective No 6 and 7 seeds was expected to go down to the wire at Hard Rock on Monday night, but prior events effectively took Welly kicker Nick Folk out of range and the Steelmen did what they normally do in the early stages of the knock-out competition and simply pocketed the win and moved on. The networks had this clash of former Bon Accord Division rivals as the prime tie of the two, with a head to head battle royale between top rated QB's Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts the centre-piece. NFL bye weeks had denied us the spectacle of the League top signal-callers going mano a mano in an ALFF setting in Week 10 , when the Sowf London combo crushed the Hurtsless defending champions 41-16 in regular season action, but with both passers in place for this first ever post season meeting between the two sides, the outcome was expected to be significantly closer. Indeed a recent revival in the NZ side's 4th rated ground game allied to the availability of his QB , saw coach Butter's combo listed as 2pt favorites. Team selections were not hugely different from Wk 13 outside of bye week tweaks (Allen for Bryce Young the obvious one) although injury forced the Kauri King to promote Tee Higgins at WR3 with Christian Watson injured. The opening action at Heinz Field did not bode well for the Granite Div representatives with recent addition at RB2 Jaylen Warren coming up empty and it didn't take long in the early Sunday window for the Whitby based outfit to exploit that ranking difference in the respective running attacks when the highest scoring RB in PO history Alvin Kamara, opened the scoring with a 9 yard TD run in New Orleans. As fate would have it , that would be the only lead the defending champions would hold. As Q1 gave way to Q2 , up at Soldier Field rookie runner Jahmyr Gibbs restored parity to the score-line with a 12 yard TD scamper before back in the Dome the Steelmen jumped ahead 12-06 when their Saints DST returned a block punt 8 yards to paydirt. Both sides had their DST units in action in the early Sunday stanza but while Adamski's NO squad increasingly looked good for bonus points, it was a different story for Darren as his Cleveland unit steadily leaked points to the Jaguars despite a handful of turnovers. Puka Nacua was the other Scunny player in early action and although the rookie looked threatening, ultimately he would not trouble the scorers. Travis Etienne, an AB 30 hero for coach Butter, made it all square again at 12-12 with a goal-line score later in proceedings at Cleveland Stadium but ironically that score and the wider combined effect of the Jax offence, signaled a final goose egg for the Welly DST on the banks of Lake Erie. Down state in Cincinnati , WR Tee Higgins looked the mostly likely source of alternative Rising points in the opening Sunday period, as he strutted his stuff at Paycor Stadium but a slightly underthrown pass (when a longer one would have resulted in a score) and an overturned TD on an OPI call were as close as the retained wide-out got to avoiding a goose egg. Meanwhile back where the first phase scoring had started, the Saints DST held off Carolina with ease to add 4 bonus points to the Scunny total and we moved on to the late games with Adamski the happier of the two coaches 16-12 to the good. Late Sunday was crucial to the Steeler game-plan with QB Josh Allen and K Greg Joseph facing down lone Welly combatant WR Davante Adams. Let's deal with the passer first. Fresh from scooping the ALFF passing title, Allen looked crisp and up for it from the opening kick-off at Arrowhead. A 25 yard TD strike was soon followed by a bullish 6 yard TD run and suddenly it was 25-12 to the Steelmen with the best part of 3 quarters still to play. Thoughts of another double digit outing for the champion QB did not materialize however as surprisingly the points simply dried up. Over at Allegiant Stadium , where Greg Joseph and Davante Adams were locking horns, the term points dried up would have insinuated that someone had actually scored at some stage....and that increasingly looked unlikely in an offensive wasteland. Joseph did miss a 49 yard FG opportunity in the 2nd quarter (wide right) but as the final gun got closer and closer a 0-0 scoreline (and OT) looked a distinct possibility. Finally just inside the 2 minute warning Joseph did manage a 36 yard FG to extend the Scunthorpe lead to 28-12 but there can be no doubt it was Dazzer who must have felt the better, having weathered an opening barrage and escaped this period with only 12pts leeched to his largely expended opponent..... in my book , very much advantage to the League Champions. We now moved to a hugely pivotal SNF fixture at Jerryworld , where Darren's Eagles combo of Jalen Hurts and A J Brown took on the recently hot Scunny WR pairing of Cooks and Lamb. With last man out Nick Folk up his Monday night sleeve coach Butter had to feel the current 13pt deficit was just on the edge of reasonable expectation range , so the task for his Philly duo had to be..... outscore his last direct opponents by a minimum of just 3pts. Surely that was a given from Hurts at least ? Well.... it didn't quite work out that way. An opening possession 13 yard counter from CeeDee Lamb swiftly made it 28-12 to the 2020 champions but more importantly was a statement of intent from the Dallas Cowboys who went on to dominate the Eagles in NFL terms. There were no more points for Lamb or Cooks.... but crucially Hurts was held scoreless for the first time ever in a Wellington jersey, with a matching Brown doughnut the rather obvious downside of the double dip pairing. It was almost like Josh Allen was rubbing his opponents face in his individual prize success. And that was virtually it. Needing what would have been the second highest kicking total in post season history to grab victory from the esophagus of defeat Nick Folk managed a creditable 8pts in closing on Monday night.....and the tie rather fizzled out as a comfortable 31-20 Adamski triumph. The Steelers improve to a League best 14-6 in post season competition , with their only loss in their last 9 knock-out ties coming in an ALFF Bowl 29 loss to the Killers. Next up it's the Westburn Blades.....the side they beat in their ALFF Bowl 28 triumph. Darren's title reign ended a lot more innocuously than the pundits expected. Everything was set up ahead of the SNF action to allow Hurts and co to get nice and close for a Monday night comeback win. What a moment for the signal-caller to fail to deliver. With this loss the window closes on the "Hurts epoch" at Kauri Towers as the passer ends his retained spell at Welly having been a 16th Rd selection of the NZ head honcho in only his second draft. It was a bit of an odd ball campaign for the defending champions, setting a new ALFF mark as the first Martin Garioch ALFF Points Champions to both score and concede 400pts and while coach Butter did indeed have one of the League's tougher schedules, if his W/L tally was adjusted to take into account two 30pt losses , it would only be fair to dock one of his seven actual wins ( 22-10 Wk 3 over the Apaches), so I would concede they maybe played more to an 8-5 level than their final 7-6. The reality was Dazzer's side had become heavily dependent on their passer since after the mid season plateau, with their running game in particular hitting the wall until a Wk 13 revival just came along in time to ensure post season participation. It's a tad ironic both RB's scored again this week as Hurts finally came up empty. Travis Etienne is another player who returns to the open player pool in 2024. In terms of his draft, coach Butter has the luxury of a "stud" retained list with strength baked in at QB and RB , so his selection of A J Brown as 12th player overall , followed one pick later by Davante Adams was effectively his best option (Brown for the fit, Adams for the quality). Alvin Kamara was a steal as the last player taken in Rd 3 (despite his early season ban). Subsequent picks RB Jamaal Williams and Rashaad Penny were maybe more of a stretch especially as back to back choices, although with the former swiftly sidelined by injury, it's hard to know about that one. Given his roster depth perhaps a quicker reach for a top three kicker may have brought more reward than eventual 7th Rd pick Wil Lutz. Back-up QB Daniel Jones ("he will only be needed for one game") also seemed like a poor value option in Rd 6. Outside a shrinking existing list, RB's Tank Bigsby and Sean Tucker are the only new eye candy in Welly's potential retained list. In short my draft marking for the top eight was "superb early... but faded ". Coach Butter will pick in the No 6 slot in 2024. Adamski's two 2023 wins over Darren gives him a 6-4 lead in the ATS.
Play of the Week
Not much in terms of Big Plays to work with this week.....but I will go with Caledonia Express WR D J Moore’s tone setting 18 yard run around left end (from a direct snap) for a TD. Other candidates were QB Josh Allen's bull run for a score and the Steelers Saints DST blocked punt for six.
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